Personally I do not mind that I still do not have a beta invite because the longer it takes the more that will be available when I do get in. It would be nicer than having to slowly do a little at a time until they release more. When my time comes I can just go in and play all of it instead of piecemealing it.
My question for blizzard would not be "How come I signed up for the annual pass and still do not have an invite?". My question would be, "How come you say that 1M signed up for the annual pass and so far 80% of the invites have gone out but out of the 14 people in my guild that got the annual pass none have gotten an invite yet?"
I am sure the theory crafters could have a fun with that question. What are the mathematical odds that 80% of the invites have gone out and no one in my guild has received theirs yet?
Of the people I know that signed up for the annual pass in my guild there is a wide selection of players from all over the united states and canada of various types of computer systems and ranging from long time players to new players. One of the people has even been in every beta ever, even the original one. A couple have been playing since day one. We have people that joined in BC, wrath and even cata.
If they are looking for time played or system played on, we cover it all, so there is no single thing that would excuse us, as if you where to say they are inviting the older players first. We got them. Or if you would say they are inviting people with the best systems first. We got them. We are a wide array of people so there is no one thing that could excuse such a chunk of people like that.
I am really questioning the 800K number that blizzard is putting up saying that is how many invites have gone out. I think the number is make believe. A number they just throw out there trying to make people feel better.
Because of the mathematical odds of 80% of the invites going out and none of them being anyone from my guild are beyond insane it would leave me to believe that the 80% number is most likely an outright lie.
Either it is a lie, or there is something else involved.
Which would be more likely?
1) The 800,000 number is a lie.
2) They are excluding people from my guild for some reason.
3) The math gods just wtfpwned us.
I say all three are possible.
People complained a lot about not getting instant access, so they needed to do something to try and make people happy. Saying they are sending invites, even if they are not, has seemed to really appease the player base from what I read on the forums. Sure, there are still many complaining but it is nothing like it was that first week. Even if it is an outright lie, it has done what it was intended to do, it has appeased some of the masses.
They could also be excluding my guild for some reason even if I have no clue what it would be. I could see them pushing me to the back because I have a history of putting in tickets whenever I have a problem even if it is a small one. Quest problems, roll problems, gear problems, anytime anything goes wrong I put in a ticket for it. I can see them labeling me a problem player but I can't see how that would mean no one from my guild gets an invite even if I can see how it would put me to the back of the list personally.
As far as the math gods go, I've had my bad luck with them over the years. I can easily see that even against the odds completely that no one from my guild has received an invite is actually an honest act of the random number gods. The gods are fickle, they can love you or hate you. Sure, the math is amazingly against that happening, but it could happen.
In the end if I had to choose I would think that the 800K number is a lie because like I said, even if they tagged me as a problem player that puts in tickets over anything he finds wrong they would not penalize the entire guild because they find the grumpy elf to be an annoying elf and as a firm believer of mathematics I can not accept the long odds that no one in my guild has received an invite yet even if I do believe it is possible.
In the end it comes down to one question, do you believe that blizzard is lying about the number of invites that are going out?
So far three collections of data have been posted from posters small circle of people.
2 - 0% invited.
1 - 66% invited.
More feedback can only help bolster that the 80% number is a lie.
If This Is All a Dream - Blaugust Day 4
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